Because you can never accept that your child is only a junior high school student.
1) Decent
In a city like Beijing and Shanghai, anyone who can read the "Reservoir Forum" article generally has a college degree.
There's one thing you won't do if you kill yourself: if you have a child, and he ends up with a junior high school degree.
Imagine you are a 985 graduate and your wife has at least a college degree.
Your children, no matter what, "university" is definitely a must.
If it goes a little deeper, when the child is very young, he should also be given "quality education". Including but not limited to: piano, math Olympiad, English, photography, painting, ballet and summer camp...
The so-called "green is better than blue", the conditions of parents were insufficient when they were young; today's children naturally have to stand on a higher "starting point" ". A higher grade, let the children win at the starting line.
If I say, it's 99% or even 99.99% "consensus". There should be no objection.
So, the above is all wrong.
2) Fertility
rate Why is the fertility rate not going up?
Because "decency" is the greatest evil.
At present, almost all "white-collar" families have an annual salary of 20W~100W of all classes. The common reflection is "can't afford it".
Stacking on a child consumes a huge amount of resources.
Children are trained from kindergarten to university, 20% of graduate students, and the tuition fees they consume are staggering. Correspondingly, in this nearly 20-year training cycle, there was no wage output.
If you pay attention to "quality". I want to read famous schools and interest classes for children. Then your expenses will be doubled again.
To raise a "decent" child of Beijing and Shanghai standards, the cost of burning each child is a gold in the shape of a human.
In addition to money, there is the human time and care that parents put in. This is also an extremely expensive resource. even limited resources.
What is the combination of the above factors, that is, "can't afford to support".
Almost all the white-collar middle-class are calling poor. Raising a child according to "high standards" will consume about 30-40% of their income and time.
So the fertility rate of white-collar workers is very, very low. Multiple births are rarely seen. Even if the policy allows, they don't want to give birth.
According to a statistical analysis of the United States. Among all the populations, the lowest fertility rate is professors, followed by doctors, then masters, undergraduates... Basically, the situation of "the higher the education, the lower the fertility rate".
Why does this happen, because according to the professor's "expectation", the professor's child should be a professor anyway. At least a senior intellectual, chess, calligraphy and painting.
Parenting and raising such a "high-quality" talent means a huge investment of resources. And professors have no money. Professors generally only have 0 to 1 child.
If you say the other way around: "Professor, you have 9 children. But some of them will be sewers, plasterers, tramps and prostitutes".
See if you will spray the professor to death.
Will it spray the people of Chaoyang District in Beijing to death?
Will it kill the readers of this post?
3) Why the competition for survival
was very poor before, and the family was still worried about "food and clothing". Even when there is not enough food to eat, there are still 8 to 9 babies. And all pull adults.
Today's little white-collar workers have a salary of 50~60W, wine pools and meat forests, and have no worries about food and clothing. Instead, he said, "I can't afford it, I can't afford it." Each household can support at most one, and the second one is very difficult.
The paradox here mainly comes from the different "quality of children".
Poor couples have very low demands on their children and invest very few resources. It can almost be said that you have been pulled up, and if you can find a job as an apprentice at the age of 18 without starving to death, you will be a victory. Resources given by parents ≈0
And modern parents invest a lot in their children. "High-quality" high-quality talents. The construction cost of each high-level unit is naturally different.
There is a paradox here. It seems that the private pursuit of one generation to outperform one generation, high-quality and high-quality talents, has become a fashion, a trend, and a political correctness.
This is a very, very dangerous thing! !
Now in the social circle, in the circle of friends, if you are a professor and a couple, both of them have doctorate degrees. But you said:
"I plan to have 9 children, and the average quality education level is junior high school students. Some of them will go to learn carpentry. Some of them may be begging for money, and the society is blind."
What do you think others will think about it, how relatives will think about it, what teachers and friends will think, how colleagues will think, and what will the public opinion think.
They will treat you like a lunatic. They will think that you are insane, that you have taken the wrong medicine, that such behavior is outrageous.
This is a paradox, deadlock.
What is the final result of the "decent" customs of the society.
The result is "a generation is better than a generation". But one generation is less than one generation.
For a couple, if they give their children "equal to" the inheritance and training of their own class, they may support at most two.
If a couple educates their children "far beyond" their own class, they can only afford one at most.
That's why the fertility rate is 1.1.
Once a country, a city, and a social circle are stabilized, a network of mother circles that compete with each other and "hope to become a dragon" will be formed.
The city's fertility rate would plummet. It eventually fell to around 1.1.
Because my mother wants elite training. She can't train again.
Japan and South Korea, which are also in the East Asian cultural circle, have experienced a sharp drop in fertility after completing urbanization and completing the "urban social network".
At present, Japan has completely become an aging society. On the other hand, South Korea is the country with the worst population decline and the lowest fertility rate in the world, and the Republic of Korea is about to perish.
The current situation in China is that cities such as Beijing and Shanghai that have completed "urban social networks" have very low fertility rates. Indigenous people are generally around 1.1 times. Even if you can't afford to live.
The reason why China's population figures are not "so" ugly is because China has not yet fully urbanized.
At present, China's urbanization process is about 50%, increasing by 1% every year. In the vast rural areas, there is also a widespread phenomenon of "rough production and extensive rearing".
Scholar Yi Fuxian is particularly opposed to "big urbanization". Because big cities are almost black holes in family planning. Once the population enters the big cities, regardless of their ancestral home in Anhui and Henan, they all fall to 1.1 times the fertility rate.
Why, because this is "urban social circle pollution". Originally simple farmers in Anhui and Henan, once they entered the city, "Cang Bing and know the etiquette" will also plan to send a few college students and doctoral students from the family.
It doesn't matter if you have fewer children, but you must not let your mother lose face in the circle of friends...
"The professor's family cannot produce a junior high school diploma", "A decent family can't have children who are useless", "The shame and notoriety of the family".
The existence of these customs and habits will inevitably lead to the failure of the number-first strategy of "birthing 9". Everyone is an elite training. This is a one-way path. If the customs do not change,
then the fertility rate cannot rise.
As a digression;
China's little pink, angry youth, once counted on Chinese immigrants to "occupy the United States." It is hoped that more and more Chinese immigrants will eventually change the population ratio and turn the United States into a Chinese country.
And the truth, the truth is that Chinese Americans in America are almost finished. If not finished.
The average birth rate of Chinese immigrants in the United States is less than 1.1. Even lower than Beijing and Shanghai, only slightly more than 1.0.
Chinese immigrants have the lowest fertility rate of all non-white immigrants in the United States. On average, the population halved per generation.
There is no need to "occupy the United States", and in a few decades, "Chinese American" will not exist.
Why does this happen. Very easy to understand.
Because every Chinese immigrant has the expectations of his parents. "Immigrate to America" you want to get ahead. To honor the ancestors.
Under such thinking, Chinese immigrants would never dare to have nine children. If one or two of them didn't graduate from junior high school, work as a Store Keeper in a grocery store. If the words were passed back to their hometown, wouldn't it be a shame to lose their face.
Almost every Chinese immigrant, their children's training direction is: "Ivy League". The future is not a doctor or a lawyer, elite education, decent enough.
Under such circumstances, it is absolutely impossible for the fertility rate of Chinese descent to be high. Because you can't afford it. Every elite is piled up with massive amounts of money and resources.
Since you can't keep your face down and give birth to eight or nine like the old ink, you will naturally be overwhelmed by the Hispanic crowd.
Since you are Chinese, you can't hold back a few homeless criminals at home, so you will naturally be overwhelmed by the crowd of old black people.
Fertility is a competition.
In the domestic market competition, people have long understood. "You can't take your face" pretending to be lofty, then the sales will definitely not sell the goods, the shopping mall will definitely have no customers, and the boss will definitely have no connections.
In the same way, in the population competition, "can't afford to lose face". Dirty work is tiring and you don’t want to go. You think it’s dirty to live like an old black ant. Must be white lotus ivy. You are not dead, who is dead.
D) Civilization of Tombstone
Park 5th century, the ancient Roman Empire finally collapsed.
The vast empire that once dominated Western civilization, and the hundreds of millions of subjects along the Mediterranean coast, turned to dust. Not even a tombstone remains.
The History of the Rise and Fall of the Roman Empire is the focus of Western research. Everyone is confused:
how the once invincible Roman Empire lost its power. How a technologically advanced civilization was defeated by barbarians.
The answers range from women's inheritance rights to inflation to leaded container water pipes.
But there is one thing that cannot be avoided by any means: the Romans are getting fewer and fewer.
Genuine, pure-bred, republican descendants of ancient Romans, with a dwindling population.
This is a very weird question. As a victorious nation, Rome successively eliminated the Carthaginians, Greeks, and Egyptians, and established a unified empire.
The Romans had the most fertile land, the most advanced farming techniques, and the most iron tools. And in the end, the fertility rate of the Romans was not as good as that of the forest born in the backcountry.
The population of the entire Roman nation was not increasing, but decreasing.
By the later period of Rome, he had not enough population to fill such a huge imperial territory. He was forced to bring in migrant workers and give foreigners more residency.
After that, the Romans could not even make up the population of prime-age people for "military service". So there were more and more barbarian soldiers in the Roman army.
When the barbarian first joined the army, you thought he was just a shirtless big-headed soldier. But when the population of barbarian soldiers accounted for 1/3, or even 2/3. Who else can ignore the thoughts of alien soldiers? [1]
Afterwards, the Romans and even the Guards could not maintain Roman blood. The Guards joined the barbarians one after another.
At this point, Rome is not far from its demise.
So the question is, why are there fewer and fewer "Romans".
Rome is the ruling nation, occupying the best and richest pastures, why the population of Romans will be less and less. On the contrary, the barbarians in the barren valley are growing more and more. Eventually occupy the majority of the population?
When you compare AD.476 to AD.1, the population of Romans and barbarians is simply an inverted pyramid.
I don't have a precise answer. But I have a fantasy idea:
"The decline of the Roman population, the eventual collapse of the Roman Empire, has something to do with urbanization and decent fertility".
Almost any big city is a black hole of fertility. Almost any society in which the "middle class" is generated and solidified is a black hole of fertility.
Because of "respecting the truth and knowing the etiquette", when a city-state enters a wealthy society, the wind of comparison is inevitable.
When a group of ladies gather together, only "strong, good, outstanding" decent children can win glory for the women.
And let's say you have nine offspring, but each one is mediocre. Nothing but numbers, and obviously you'll be ridiculed in social circles.
This caused the Roman middle-class family to fall into the curse of "green out of blue".
Comparing with each other among the middle classes will inevitably lead to mothers who "pursue quality" and have fewer children. In exchange for compliments from your circle of friends.
And he didn't care about the blood behind it.
"Few but better" results. It was the Romans that became fewer and fewer, and the entire Roman nation died out. The Romans thought they were elegant and tasteful, and in the end all Romans became slaves and lowly servants of the barbarians.
If you have read books like "Sperm Wars" and "Baby Wars" that are cold but very thorough.
Then you will know that biological competition is everywhere.
Generally speaking, there are two main strategies for biological competition: "Quality wins" and "Quantity wins".
Winning by quality must be accompanied by the massacre of inferior nations!
This statement is absolutely 100% politically incorrect. But it is a step-by-step deduction with logical reasoning, and there is no doubt about the result.
I can't do anything about it. Logic is higher than PC!
Because of "number wins", his number is growing exponentially. And every creature is competing for resources and for the genetic right to the evolutionary tree for 4.6 billion years.
"Quality wins" must be accompanied by a massacre of inferior bugs. Only in the massacre can the value of "quality" be reflected. No slaughter is not quality.
Only by killing all the inferior bugs, at least half of them, can "quality wins" slowly grow at a very small reproduction rate. and ultimately leave a genetic tree.
When Rome was just founded. The ancient Romans were a typical "quality wins". The unity, discipline, sacrifice and team spirit unique to Roman citizens forged the invincible ancient "Roman phalanx".
Phalanx, Phalanx, Glory to Rome!
With the power of Legion, the Romans slaughtered all the barbarians in Gaul, ruled the Mediterranean, and wiped out the black Africans.
But when Rome established a unified empire, after "peace", massacres were not feasible.
In other words, from the day of "peace", it was doomed that all the Romans were killed and turned into slaves.
Now that there is peace, "quality wins" can't wantonly massacre "quantity wins".
No matter how humble the conquered and submissive nations are, they are at least citizens of the empire. It can be humiliated, but not slaughtered.
So in a "peaceful" environment, the population of inferior nations and barbarians increases very rapidly. And the Roman Empire lacked an excuse to slaughter them all over again.
Long ago, after hundreds of years, the barbarian population was 100 times yours. Kill you sooner or later.
The Second Roman Empire;
in today's society, the persecution of the Virgin of Western Europe has accelerated the historical process several times.
"Peace" and "welfare society", mixed into cancer cells malignant AIDS bacteria.
At present, Western Europe in the United States is caught in the triple attack of the African Hispanic Green Sect.
Black-green's strategy is to do whatever it takes to live. Maximize the number of pursuits.
In "jungle competition," such a desperate strategy would destroy a tribe and set back a race, leaving them starved of food and technological input.
And in the "welfare society" of Western Europe in the United States. The more you give birth, the more benefits you receive. Since the Virgin forced breastfeeding to cut the milk so that the black baby would not starve to death.
This is not "quality wins", but "reverse quality wins". The more high-quality elites, the greater the losses.
They can neither slaughter inferior people, but also feed bugs.
The white civilization of "quality wins" is committing suicide today!
As shown. Within the United States. Whites are outnumbered only in the 44+ age group.
What does it mean, means sunset sunset. Early death and early birth.
If there is no such thing as "killing 100 million people of color" in the United States.
Within 30 years, people of color in America will account for 75% of the population. Approaching an avalanche trend.
The United States will be reduced to a Kenyan country similar to Latin American countries.
You can see it during your lifetime.
For what dollar. Wait for 1 RMB=8 USD.
5) Epilogue
Competition is omnipresent.
The competition of creatures is diverse, not necessarily aircraft cannons.
Womb morality is also part of the competition.
From a Taoist's point of view, the real truth is only eight words: "natural selection, survival of the fittest".
This sentence means that at different stages, different strategies should be adopted.
In different external environments, different coping strategies should also be adopted.
At some stage, you can go for "quality wins." For example, in the early stage of industrialization, which was extremely lacking in college students.
At certain stages, you can take a "balancing strategy". 3 to 4 are born.
At some stage, you should not hesitate to take "number to win". 9 were born. Even if you are an academician.
In the current social atmosphere, if a professor has 9 children, and he only pursues the number, regardless of it, it will be rough and rough. There are many children who are unqualified and fall into the middle and lower levels of society.
Then this professor will face very big social criticism. Public opinion was amazed.
All of the above are wrong. This is equivalent to locking the "select". Forcing the family, the Chinese, and the Chinese nation, they must follow the quality line of "the blue is better than the blue".
This is very very very dangerous! Exile Route.
Break the rigid social "consensus". This is the beginning of flexible change.
China used to be a typical "inferior nation", with quantity but not quality. It was looked down upon by the Japanese in the 1980s.
But China has risen instead. Japan has weakened instead.
After the "only child", China's manpower quality has grown very fast. 421 phenomenon is serious.
But today, the disadvantages of winning by quality are also very obvious. For example, interracial population pressure.
It's time for a change!
Adapt, change, survive.
There should be 9 academicians. Even if a few descendants did not graduate from junior high school.
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