I analyze the $400 million problem in the film from the point of view of arbitrage trading

Jaleel 2022-03-23 09:02:29

400 million US dollars is not a shortfall, it should be used to fill the futures margin for shorting copper. Because he is shorting and the price of copper is rising (as explained in the beginning of the film), there will be a loss on the book of his shorting copper futures position, and he needs to add a margin. If he can hold on and the Russian copper mines continue to be profitable, the sale of spot copper could bring huge cash flows. The result of the arbitrage trading of copper in the futures market at the beginning was that no matter whether the copper price rose or fell, as long as the spot copper can be shipped normally, it will bring huge profits. It's just that the Russian government is temporarily in control, which has caused a setback in spot copper transactions, and also caused problems with his company's cash flow, requiring short-term borrowing from others. However, the mining rights of the big copper mine in Russia are also valuable. On the whole, the company is also valuable, but there is a short-term cash flow problem. This is also one of the reasons why the next company who took over his company can endure the misappropriation of 400 million US dollars in book funds.

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Extended Reading
  • Ines 2022-04-23 07:03:07

    Perhaps it is to tell us that if a person, wife, lover, children, family, career, wealth, fame... all want to take up everything, then what he does is not balance, but walking a tightrope. Even if he succeeded in maintaining the apparent harmony in the end, once he was restrained, he was no longer himself.

  • Dagmar 2022-03-27 09:01:12

    I really have no interest in the various crises of middle-aged men, and is it necessary to use so many powerful actors for such a tepid film? . . waste

Arbitrage quotes

  • Det. Michael Bryer: [talking on the phone] Yeah... I need a serious fucking favor.

  • Robert Miller: But this is something we've seen over and over again. Time and time again. The competition for this limited amount of dollars out there can make the best of us manic. So it's not surprising that we have these asset bubbles. But when reality sets in, of course, they burst.