Game theory, Louis Koo's optimal strategy, high risk, high reward

Humberto 2022-03-24 09:03:31

Game theory, Louis Koo's Optimal Strategy, High Risk High Reward

IMPORTANT
- Serious warning, this review is a spoiler no more spoilers.
- And I don't remember the name of the play, so I replaced it with the actor's name.
- I'm rather long-winded...I aim to clarify the viewing logic.

-------------------------------------------------- ----------

Drug trafficking is a life-threatening job.

At the beginning of the film, Sun Honglei told Gu Tianle that the death penalty can be executed by selling 50 grams. The implication is that it is not an exaggeration to kill you thousands of times.

Drug trafficking is also an advanced job.

From engaging in raw materials, production, contacting the next home, shipping, and delivery. Every link is a heartbeat. Even if the police are not caught, if any link passes through the basket, which side is not a gangster? The loss is huge.

Therefore, the young man Gu Tianle, who does not steal chickens and dogs, does not cheat, but plays drug dealers, is absolutely thoughtful and ruthless. In fact, if you pay attention, over time, Sun Honglei gradually fell into passive, while Gu Tianle gradually turned from passive to active. Every time he makes a decision, it is the optimal decision of Game Theory. If it weren't for the seemingly unfortunate "accidents", the outcome might be very different. Let's take a look at each of his accidents and decisions:

(Accident 1: Suddenly poisoned while driving. Falling into Sun Honglei's hands. Waking up in the hospital, no guards beside him...)

1st decision: guards watch the fun, escape Do not run away?
If you don't escape, you've sent the drug, your phone has been taken away, and when the police come back to ask questions, if you dig deep into the information about drug production, it will be a death penalty.
If you run away, if you are caught, you will die anyway. Don't care about one more escape. If you are not caught, the line on this side is broken, and the chance of successful escape is greatly increased.
Besides, the guards were not there for just a short while, so it would be even longer if they didn't escape.

(Accident 2: The guards were set aside, and they happened to bump into Sun Honglei at the door, so they ran again until they were forced into the morgue.) The

second decision: surrender or resist
The body hasn't recovered yet, and there are guards with guns standing in the room. What are you thinking, just surrender obediently.

The 3rd decision: The first time I prayed for
the crime and meritorious deeds, Gu Tianle might have been beaten to death, but Sun Honglei told his wife and elder brother (from the back of his warm eyes and his attitude towards others (brothers, godfather), he still valued it very much His wife and brother) died, his identity as a drug maker was exposed, and his best choice had changed from saving the lives of his family to saving his own. At this time, Sun Honglei already has evidence to shoot him, so he can't be reserved at this time! If he does not commit crimes and make meritorious deeds, the death penalty cannot be exchanged for a reprieve, nor a chance to survive. So there

is the 4th decision: to betray Brother Haha.
He didn't hesitate at all, he was doing his own shit. "I just want to be guilty and make merit, you believe me!"

The 5th decision: tell Sun Honglei how to detoxify
Sun Honglei. As the leader of this operation, although there is no commitment to Gu Tianle's "crime and merit", he also acquiesces with his actions, which seems to imply that if Gu Tianle cooperates well , it really saves lives. If Sun dies, he will have to wait for the new leader to come, miss the opportunity to make contributions, and everything is full of unfavorable variables.
Therefore, Gu Tianle actively told him the detoxification method, expressing a clear message:
"I just want to commit crimes, you believe me!"

The 6th decision: Betray Guo Tao and Li Jing
Here I have the same question as many people on the forum:

why Why don't you escape from the tunnel when you go back to the factory to eat?

What a great opportunity this is. You see,
- Gu came all the way to fully understand that the police force is relatively weak (just came in the car, hungry, tired and sleepy)
- Guo Tao and Li Jingju can fight (then the two of them can be attacked by full armed forces while watching TV and pulling shit. retreat)
- All weapons are available (body shields, time bombs, pistols, rifles)
- Strong protrusions are not a big problem, not to mention there is a big hole.

Therefore, I personally think that what Gu Tianle said to Sun Honglei afterward was not deceiving:

he really didn't know there was an authentic way! ! !

So, there was
(accident 3: Guo Tao and Li Jing escaped from a hole in the ground (which later affected the direction of the ending), and the police lost two generals. Lao Sun was very angry, and he had always suspected him of being a ghost before, so he said that he would be brought back to the headquarters, meaning That is to say, play tricks with me more. Don't think about it.)

The 7th decision: the second time to pray for blame and merit - It was revealed that the
old and new debts of the seven sons and grandsons would be calculated together, Gu Tianle immediately put it without thinking. Seven sons burst out. Looking at this situation, if it is not a big surprise, it is necessary to return to the headquarters, that is, there is no way to "put the blame and make merit", and you will not get a reprieve.
Here he has another selfishness, which is also related to his subsequent choices.

The 8th decision: lure seven sons to the front of the screen with Lao Sun. Then he was taken away by the seven sons.
I saw other film critics also asking, why don't you run away at this time? Back to the base camp, back to the godfather, the brothers, and everyone discussing strategies, it is better than being at the gate of the elementary school and temporarily telling the brothers that there are police around, everyone, run away, it is much better? Is this unreasonable? !

In fact, this is the most reasonable and the best choice made by Gu Tianle!

Just imagine, if Gu Tianle and Qi Zi confessed that night, Qi Zi found out:
- You are fine, you made a mistake, and even hired a bunch of policemen to come here -
Our Qi Zi was hiding well behind the scenes, but we were also exposed-
The main thing, what about 150 million?
So now you tell me to run together, and I'll hammer you to death first. The ghost knows if you are still doing things for the police. If you do the anti-bone boy once, you may do it the second time. With the suspicious character of the seven sons, Gu Tianle will definitely not be retained. (After the primary school shootout, Gu Tianle just confessed that he had a gun against his head, which best shows how good these brothers are...)

Therefore, Gu Tianle absolutely cannot confess to the seven sons, and it is better to die with absolution than to die tragically!

Some people may ask, Gu Tianle didn't tell Sun Honglei before that there is his godfather and his brother among the seven people, so there is no disclosure, their relationship should be very good? ! Then let's see what their relationship is like:

Qizi is against his subordinates, and Gu Tianle...
- The two uncles and nephews in front of the scene were interrupted by the police, and they were "discovered" by the fake Haha Sun Honglei. Gu Tianle may be killed by "haha", but what are they talking about? I'm not talking about saving people, but it's a pity not to earn 150 million yuan, so in the end, it was because of money that I came out from behind the scenes. From start to finish.
- The uncle and nephew were beaten violently and tied into a sack before seeing Qizi before he had a chance to explain. In the end, I don't know if I'm dead.
Therefore, the seven sons have nothing to do with Gu Tianle and their accomplices. Besides, among the underworld who recognize godfathers and brothers, how many are taking their lives to protect you?

Gu Tianle to Qizi...
- No matter how beautiful he said, he still sold Qizi
- he didn't trust them to let him go, so he didn't confess that night
- the shootout at the entrance of the elementary school was the best way to see it.
(It was said that the seven sons were praising Gu Tianle that night to help everyone make money. He just bowed his head to eat, and he must have been in a complicated mood.)

The 9th decision: I confessed to the seven sons at the entrance of the primary school, and everyone went wild.
Continuing the previous paragraph, in fact, Gu Tianle's best choice has changed from simply running for his life after the first "criminal and meritorious service", especially after the seventh choice, to "if you want to run for your life, the seven sons have to die."
Only in this way can we escape the white way and escape the underworld. The reason is similar to "I didn't confess to Qizi that night". Therefore, he was looking for a point where he could escape and kill the seven sons with the help of the police. At the entrance of the primary school, so many children became his opportunity.

Here we should pay attention to what Gu Tianle said when he confessed (based on the memory of going to the cinema yesterday, the following is a general meaning)

"...These are all bugs... There are policemen in the front and back, there are x cars, and x people... (At this time, one of the seven sons scolded him for betraying him and pointed a gun at his head)... Now the strength is about the same, some have to fight, everyone Let's escape together..."

The timing and content of this sentence were too good. The implication is, don't kill me first, I'm on your side now, come and let me analyze the fighting strength of the two sides for you, they are evenly matched, and we can kill them together! ...

So, although Gu Tianle turned against his bones, he managed to temporarily stand on the side of the seven sons and was temporarily safe. The seven sons started to deal with the police in a panic...

10th decision: The bus rammed + shot Huang Yi + the children used the shields
to be vicious. What a mess! The more chaos, the more chaos the better to escape.

The 11th decision:
After the chaos was created by tricking the seven sons into "getting on the bus", Gu Tianle parked the bus in front of the seven sons and opened the door. When the seven sons approached, they immediately closed the door and left, exposing them to the police, diverting the target, and fleeing the delay for himself. Block, create time.

In fact, this decision was effective until

(the fourth accident - hit Guo Tao and Li Jing's car halfway.)
Gu Tianle was really depressed. In such a big city, the location where Guo Tao and Sun Honglei made an appointment, and the location that Gu Tianle chose by himself, so coincidentally nearby, and so coincidentally bumped into each other in a panic. At this time, everyone was extremely nervous, what else to explain, let's just start the fight.

The 12th decision: Surrender to Sun Honglei again
. Gu Tianle hid behind the bus. He fixed his eyes and saw that the police's gun was pointed at it! Both sides have to make their own. Or the police uncle was not so violent, Ma Liuer surrendered. At this time, the two sides of the rumble immediately became the police and Guo Tao and Li Jing.

The 13th decision: smash the handcuffs and escape
while fighting over there, Gu Tianle smashed the handcuffs with his life. Because of the two sides fighting over there, whoever wins can't escape death. It's just the difference between dying early (Guo Tao and Li Jing turned around to kill him) and died late (the police won the battle and sentenced him to death. With such a large casualty, there is no hope for a reprieve)

The 14th decision: all the gunmen will be replaced
As a result, both sides of the battle suffered heavy losses. Gu Tianle resolutely went up to repair the gun and wanted to take the car and escape, but when he was looking for the key,

(the fifth accident – ​​Sun Honglei took his last breath and handcuffed Gu Tianle’s ankles together) ...At this time, Gu Tianle has only one good hand, one movable leg, the ground is full of guns without bullets, there is a car that can't find the key, and the car with the key can't be opened...)

Well...

finally, like all the movies , the support troops arrived slowly...

and then came the end: Gu Tianle was dying, and he was still breaking the news to pray for "defense and meritorious deeds", but unfortunately, Game over

In fact, with Gu Tianle's mind, he can make a fortune by selling boxed meals, selling waste paper, and doing anything. It's a pity that people always lose to greed, or as Lin Xue said in the film

High risk, high profit,
high profit, high risk.

In order to escape from the adventures, the seven children went from behind the scenes to the front for money, and Sun Honglei went from behind the scenes to catch them. A thief does not hesitate to use a thief's adventure.

High risk is for high reward

PS If it is not for a few accidents, the ending may be very different.
Or what Du Dao wanted to express,
the first accident: "Children, don't touch drugs. Look at Uncle Gu Tianle's six-pack abs and strong body. Taking drugs is not a problem."
Second accident: Enemy Lu
Zhaidi The third accident + the fourth accident: Retribution, retribution...
The fifth accident: Is the evil overpowering the good...? ? ?

View more about Drug War reviews