Crisis Reflection (1) Margin Call

Verlie 2022-03-24 09:01:45

Production Budget: $3,400,000
Theatrical Release: October 21st, 2011
Worldwide Box Office $16,086,247

MARGIN CALL is the most terrifying term in futures trading, margin call.
It's definitely not a good thing to get this call, because it means either putting more money in, or the money already put in will be lost in no time.
Margin call is a warning. Anyone who has done trading knows that it is a necessary quality to follow the trend. If you can't play the "everyone is greedy and I'm afraid", Margin call will ring in your ears all the time.
If you invest more money, it will be a bigger gamble. The reason for the margin call is because you have made a trade against the market. At this time, it is best to have more capital and more courage. More importantly, pray that the market will quickly reverse and move toward the previously determined. Go back in the direction. That must be gambling.
The producer invested $3.4 million for the director, who has been making documentaries and short films for 15 years, and it is said that he wrote the script in just four days. Obviously, the bet was right this time. The box office was 16 million, and some earned it. This script, which was completed in four days, was nominated for the 84th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
The director's name is JC Chandor.

Two mainstream media commented on the film:
"Shanghai Tongyu" looks like a thriller, which is built on an abstract, technical and theoretical level. As a Wall Street movie, it doesn't talk about corruption or cover up any events.
——"The Guardian"
"Ultimate to the Sea" can be regarded as the "most interesting" movie produced by Hollywood this year, and it is also the best among the movies with Wall Street as the background. ——The Face
of Wall Street in The New Yorker



It's really puzzling that this financial-themed movie was made R-rated. After reading it, I found it even more confusing. It seems that every actor just uses "fuck me" as a mantra.
Maybe as a Wallstreet Guy, only by constantly using such inner monologues or self-deprecating can get the audience's understanding. By the way, I checked it out, and the "Occupy Wall Street" movement hadn't even started when this drama was filmed.
In people's impression, Wallstreet Guy wears expensive suits, oily powder, and all kinds of expensive luxury goods, famous watches, and luxury cars. They're incredibly smart people, they're one of the highest earners, and of course, they're the least secure at work. Their job is to deal with real money. If the numbers are not good, what they lose is the life they need to maintain with various high-end consumption.
Wall Street's salary system, vivid and vivid now comes out through a 23-year-old boy chewing his tongue in the film.
The first is the background of Wall Street people, where do they come from? The video gives the origins of these people from the side. The two most capable are also the two who used mathematical models to calculate that the crisis is about to break out. One is a Ph.D. from MIT, who mainly studies rocket science, and the other is an old man who has worked in the company for 19 years. Middle level, used to be a bridge specialist. These people are undoubtedly mathematicians, good at numbers, good at calculations, good at building models and reasoning. These people have researched and invented the financial industry that capitalism depends on. These people are affecting the lives of ordinary people day and night. Ordinary people, who have empty dreams, can only live under their designs, and even more, don't know when they have jumped into the traps designed by these people.
These two are not the leaders of the game, but the grassroots of the company. The film starts with the ex-bridge expert being fired, the poor middle-level cadre, who just bought a beautiful house, and still has a mortgage. The annual income of young rocket majors is estimated to be $250,000. It is still difficult to live in a mansion and go to prostitutes for $2,000 a night. Is it the desire that drives these people and thus the greedy financial markets?
The higher-level leaders with an annual income of 2.5 million do not stop. The film clearly calculates an account, 1.25 million tax, 300,000 loan repayment, 150,000 honoring parents, 150,000 car, 75,000 meals Socializing, 50,000 to buy clothes, and 400,000 to save in case of crisis. And 125,000? About 76,000 was spent on prostitutes, which is worth the price compared to the effect they bring.
It's U.S. dollars here.
Too greedy and endless desire. Yes, it costs 76,000 to go to a prostitute, 2,000 counts, ah, 38 times, less than one per week, what a shame.
The big boss who appeared in the helicopter, the highest level, the leader has an income of 86 million a year and is worth 1 billion. But the leader said, I can't sit in the current position because of my brain. The leader's creed is that there are only three ways to survive in the financial industry: be first, be smarter, or cheat.

Derivatives

film fictionalized a 107-year-old investment bank, or investment company, whose main business is to sell MBS (Mortgaged-backed securities) products. Some people say that it is Lehman Brothers that mirrors the bankruptcy, some people say that it is Goldman Sachs, and everyone knows that the culprit is not a certain institution.
MBS is a type of financial derivatives, and it is also the culprit of the 2008 financial crisis, perhaps a scapegoat.
To explain financial derivatives is actually very simple, the textbook is generalized like this, a financial instrument whose value is determined by the price of other things.
When the value of a thing is not determined by its own quality, it will be very profound, or, in layman's terms, very pretentious. For such a thing to exist, it must have special connotations, it must have technical content, and it must be the crystallization of human wisdom.
To make an analogy, those strippers who dance in bars, they do not have a clear price for overnight expenses, but they have experience, they can earn 2,000 when they meet a Wall Street person, 1,600 when they meet a lawyer, and 1,000 when they meet an ordinary white-collar worker.
When the price of these prostitutes is not determined by their own quality, but by the identity of the client. The method of identifying clients of prostitutes, then, is a valuable derivative.
Matchmakers in ancient times had a similar function.
The matchmaker said that in a certain bar, there was a group of young investment bankers partying tonight. As a result, the number of girls in that bar that night will increase, the price of drinks will increase that night, and even the temporary workers watching the car are willing to squeeze near the bar. This is the bull market.
The matchmaker soon discovered her worth and began charging. Some smart people signed a contract with the matchmaker, which probably means cooperation and sharing, and it has been guaranteed since then. Smarter banks are coming. Girls who sign a contract with a matchmaker can get a high amount of loan, buy a house, do a spa, practice yoga, and go to business school. Obviously, they can make more money.
Suddenly one day, the matchmaker died.
The whole village is in chaos.
Banks began to collect loans, girls reduced their consumption, bars were no longer prosperous, and the young people who parked were unemployed, and the crisis came.

Wall Street's

bridge expert before the bridge goes to great lengths to do the math. He once built a bridge.
"912 feet long, 12,100 people pass by every day, crossing the bridge can shorten the distance by 35 miles one way.
That's 847,000 miles a day.
A month is, 254,100,000 miles.
A year's savings, 304,920,000 miles.
The bridge was built 22 years, 670,824,000 miles
. Drive 50 miles. It saves people 134,164,800 hours.
That is 559,020 days, 1531 years.
A bridge saves 1,531 years of time for people on both sides of the bridge."
Wall Streeters are bossy, just because they work on Wall Street.
What's going on with Wall Street?
The history of Wall Street is an urban history of New York. The Dutch who invented the stock market opened up the shipping route from Amsterdam to New York, and maritime trade made Amsterdam the world's first financial center. And there, not only stocks were born, but a modern banking system was also established, and of course the first financial crisis in human history, the tulip bubble, occurred.
Wall Street was originally a wall, built by European settlers to defend against the invasion of native Indians. Later Wallstreet was a symbol of urbanization. This is the place where the North American continent welcomes the European ships, and it is also the place where human beings create financial civilization.
It is no exaggeration to say that Wall Street has made New York, the United States, and the capital civilization of mankind.
What kind of opportunity did such a civilization develop?
The context is this: production, barter, credit, currency, banking, deposits, loans, financing, stocks, bonds, mortgages, subprime mortgages, subprime loans.
Reverse reasoning: If there are no investment banks on Wall Street, there will be no futures, stock, and bond markets. The government can only rely on taxes to maintain its operation, and companies can only rely on buying products to operate. The nightmare of continued reasoning is that the government has no money to build subways and plan. , the company cannot expand production capacity, engage in innovation and invention. Banks will be careful to take as few deposits as possible, and astute merchants will do their best to only deal with people they know.
That's right, no globalization, no global village, no economies of scale, no pollution, nothing that exists today.
No planes, no internet, no these financial crises.
No Bill Gates, no Buffett, no capital saga.
Even without Wall Street, Edison would not have the money to experiment with electric lights, and General Motors would not have been established. Humans will remain in the era of farming.
Wall Street is like a bridge, saving human beings how much time it takes to reach today's civilization.

Crisis is inevitable

The film was released on October 21, 2011, at the height of the "Occupy Wall Street" movement.
From September 17th, thousands of protesters began to gather in Manhattan, and by October, it developed into a march across the United States. At its peak, 120 cities were on the protest list, not only in the United States, due to social network Adding fuel to the flames, the wave even spread to cities such as Melbourne, Tokyo, Seoul, Frankfurt, Prague, etc.
The Occupy Wall Street movement reflects the dissatisfaction of the American people with society after the financial crisis, and is also an evidence of the slump in various economic data.
The film came out when people pointed their vent at Wall Street's greed.
The film really does not defend Wall Street.
But greed, as human nature, was gathered on Wall Street and then magnified.
To put it another way, when you have millions of savings, would you leave it to an ordinary bank clerk to take care of it, or would you choose a man who drives a luxury car, has a full body of brand-name hair, and is full of confidence?
When capital gathers on Wall Street, it is bound to find a profit point to pursue frantically. Real estate, technology stocks, commodity futures, and even the weather and presidential elections can be the objects of the transaction.
This crisis, which originated from the subprime mortgage bubble, came from the housing market bubble. The reason why mortgage loans can be traded needs a support point, that is, the rise in asset prices. The question is, are house prices likely to keep rising?
When house prices don't go up, or you want to breathe a sigh of relief and stop going up, you're in big trouble.
It's not just Wall Street that is greedy, it includes individual households who take out loans for housing regardless of their actual income.
The dissatisfaction of the public is that the design of Wall Street has given the American Dream a simple possibility, confusing the masses who do not know the truth.
No matter how much you argue, a crisis will always happen. Black swans always show up.
The key is that when a black swan strikes, how will Wall Street respond?

Yes, they "be first".
The efficiency of Wall Street is that when a grassroots risk assessor finds a problem and reports it layer by layer, the meeting lasts all night, and in the early morning, the top boss has made a decision to sell the garbage.
It's immoral to sell it if you know it's rubbish.
So what?
Morality is put aside first. On Wall Street, morality can sleep, but money never sleeps.
People will change a model and continue to derive a different gameplay.
The market will drive a group of people crazy, bankrupt a group of people, and then go back to the starting point.
Has that crisis in history never passed? The price is just to increase the material for reflection and eliminate the old-fashioned ones that are not suitable for this business. A wise man goes on and on.
So, even your mom, sell her this junk.
If the task is completed, the 1.4 million bonus will be cashed immediately, the dolor of Lu Yingying.
Some people hide in the bathroom and cry, some drink coffee, some smoke, some curse mothers, for money, life has to go on.
They appear to be smarter by being ahead. Of course, morally speaking, they cheated, but business is business, and one day you will cheat on me too, if you are smarter than me.
Play with this set, you can mix in Wall Street.
As for ordinary people, the masses, fuck them!
This is not a place where idiots are supposed to come and play.
The prostitutes here also cost $2,000, you can't afford it.
You can imagine the expressions of those who participated in the Occupy Wall Street movement when they heard this line in the cinema!

The whole film has a gloomy style, and the mountains and rains are about to come and the wind is full of buildings.
The scenes focus on the interior of the company, and several bar shots and road shots provide a good atmosphere for the long monologues.
The fly in the ointment is that the ending is too bland.
The audience was satiated and waited for the final battle, but it was a set of empty shots of the office and voiceovers of telephone transactions. It's a bit unpleasant.
But think about what it could be? Financial products kill invisible, completely digital transactions, which can turn the rich into paupers without knowing it. When there is a screen, the numbers can flash for a while. Without the screen, there is no flashing of the numbers.
This is a difficult problem in the transformation of financial virtual products into dramatic contradictions, and it has not been effectively solved so far.
At the end, Sam Rogers, played by Grand Slam actor Kevin Spacey, buried the dead dog on the lawn of his ex-wife's house. The ex-wife comforted him politely, and when he left the house, he said the alarm was on, and don't break in. As the ex-wife turned off the lights in the yard, the screen went black, and the sound of digging the grave remained.
This is the grave of morality, the grave of MBS, but not the grave of Wall Street, not the grave of financial markets, nor the grave of capitalism.
Is this greedy digging its own grave?
Don't forget, Mr. Buffett said, greed and fear are the drivers of the market.

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Extended Reading

Margin Call quotes

  • John Tuld: So you think we might have put a few people out of business today. That its all for naught. You've been doing that everyday for almost forty years Sam. And if this is all for naught then so is everything out there. Its just money; its made up. Pieces of paper with pictures on it so we don't have to kill each other just to get something to eat. It's not wrong. And it's certainly no different today than its ever been. 1637, 1797, 1819, 37, 57, 84, 1901, 07, 29, 1937, 1974, 1987-Jesus, didn't that fuck up me up good-92, 97, 2000 and whatever we want to call this. It's all just the same thing over and over; we can't help ourselves. And you and I can't control it, or stop it, or even slow it. Or even ever-so-slightly alter it. We just react. And we make a lot money if we get it right. And we get left by the side of the side of the road if we get it wrong. And there have always been and there always will be the same percentage of winners and losers. Happy foxes and sad sacks. Fat cats and starving dogs in this world. Yeah, there may be more of us today than there's ever been. But the percentages-they stay exactly the same.

  • Will Emerson: Jesus, Seth. Listen, if you really wanna do this with your life you have to believe you're necessary and you are. People wanna live like this in their cars and big fuckin' houses they can't even pay for, then you're necessary. The only reason that they all get to continue living like kings is cause we got our fingers on the scales in their favor. I take my hand off and then the whole world gets really fuckin' fair really fuckin' quickly and nobody actually wants that. They say they do but they don't. They want what we have to give them but they also wanna, you know, play innocent and pretend they have no idea where it came from. Well, thats more hypocrisy than I'm willing to swallow, so fuck em. Fuck normal people. You know, the funny thing is, tomorrow if all of this goes tits up they're gonna crucify us for being too reckless but if we're wrong, and everything gets back on track? Well then, the same people are gonna laugh till they piss their pants cause we're gonna all look like the biggest pussies God ever let through the door.

    Seth Bregman: Do you think we're gonna be wrong?

    Will Emerson: [long pause] No, they're all fucked.

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