Yusen 's View of History, Zhuge Liang's Game Theory, Cao Amo's Economics In John Woo's "Chibi", the reason for the battle of Chibi is attributed to Xiao Qiao. It is said that Cao Cao launched the Battle of Chibi because of Xiao Qiao, what is the explanatory power of this historical point of view? If we want to introduce the old and bring forth the new, then we need to see why Cao Mengde fought this battle in the original explanation. The usual explanation is imperial ambition or ambition. When a country is economically strong to a certain extent and is very strong militarily, its hegemony is inevitable. Because the benefits of domination will far outweigh the benefits of maintaining the current pattern, albeit at a very high cost. But the temptation to anticipate returns is so great that one tends to underestimate current risks and costs. This kind of hegemony and annexation can also be corroborated in the corporate theory. And it is not uncommon in history. Qin Shihuang unified the six kingdoms is an example; Sima Zhao's mind is known to everyone is also an example; Cao Cao? In the usual explanation, it is also an example. For more information, we can find it in Qian Mu's speech on "The Political Gains and Losses of China's Past Dynasties". And Wu Yusen put forward a new explanation, Cao Mengde is not because of the expected benefits of hegemony, but for Xiao Qiao. That is to say, the benefits of getting Xiao Qiao are greater. We have also heard many similar explanations. The power of this emotion sometimes makes economists encounter certain embarrassment, such as Wu Sangui's "Raging for the crown and turning into a red face". To what extent can the historical view of "don't love the country and the beauty" stand up? unknown. More should be out of literary romantic whims. The Tang Dynasty poet Du Mu wrote a poem "Red Cliff": the halberd and the sand and the iron have not been sold, and the mill has not been washed to recognize the previous dynasty; Du Mu is not a historian, so he did not carefully research whether Cao Cao really went south for Er Qiao. According to some textual research, the construction of Tongquetai began in the winter of the fifteenth year of Jian'an, and the battle of Chibi occurred in the thirteenth year of Jian'an. Therefore, before the Chibi war, Cao Cao could not "Tongquechun deeply lock Erqiao". In fact, the other two towers of Tongquetai were built in the 18th and 19th years of Jian'an respectively. It was built only after the end of the Battle of Chibi, so it was not established for Erqiao in terms of time.
In addition, "Tongquetai Fu" does not exist. There are ten volumes of "Cao Zijian Ji" written by Cao Zhi in his life. There is no "Tongquetai Fu" in the volumes. Because the first sentence of the two fu also starts with "Wandering around from the Ming Dynasty, and stepping on the stage for entertainment." At the beginning, there is also "Eternal honor and no limit, waiting for the longevity of the East King." and so on are exactly the same. The text is the same as the rest. However, even in the text of the "Fu on the Stage", there is no content to follow the big and small Erqiao, so Cao Zhi never wrote "Learn the Erqiao in the southeast, and enjoy it together." This sentence was fabricated by Kong Ming, under the guise of Cao Zhi In the name, Zhou Yu was excited by Qi.
Taking a step back, the idea of Tongquetai's lock Erqiao is Cao Zhi's, not Cao Cao's. However, in the thirteenth year of Jian'an, Cao Zhi had not yet written "Fu on Stage". Luo Guanzhong's statement in Romance was accepted by later generations. But you can rewrite history, you cannot change history.
Therefore, Wu Yusen's view of history is based on a series of false facts. Although he might have wanted to come up with a different explanation, it paled in light of the wrong evidence. On the contrary, the traditional explanation of expected returns of imperial hegemony is more explanatory. Because after destroying Soochow, you can take Erqiao, and Cao Mengde can "love the country and the beauty".
In contrast, the movie "Trojan Horse Massacre" took an opposite path of historical interpretation. Unlike the usual war for Helen, this film interprets the cause of the war as the war must be fought, for the expected benefits of domination, and Helen is only used here as an excuse to start the war.
2 Kong Ming's game strategy, an explanation of "both Sheng Yu and He Shengliang"
John Woo's "Red Cliff" does not tell much about Kong Ming's game strategy, but generally follows Luo Guanzhong's ideas. For Liu Beifang, who wanted to gain benefits from the Three Kingdoms War, although the strategy could not be comparable to the later "joining Russia and jointly helping farmers and workers", he at least thought of a strategy of finding a partner to fight the enemy. But in order to get Sun Quan to cooperate, in addition to Xuande looking for Sun Shangxiang (a common political marriage in ancient times to seek a stable relationship), it is also necessary for both parties to form a unified goal consensus.
Zhuge Kongming made up Cao Cao as the reason for the second Qiao. This aggressive strategy successfully turned Zhou Yu into an attitude of confronting Cao Cao. From this point of view, Zhou Yu is actually a person who does not hesitate to fight for Er Qiao, so this person should be regarded as a person who loves beauty more than Jiangshan in "Romance of the Three Kingdoms", because this person is also an extremely smart person, and naturally he can see Zhuge Liang's little tricks, But still, it just shows that this person's preferences are different from those of imperial hegemony.
In the process of this game, Kong Ming also saw the problem of Zhou Yu, so he chose an aggressive strategy with Erqiao as an excuse, and it really worked, so on the whole, Zhuge Liang did not hesitate to use Erqiao as an excuse to dominate the profit. , and he also foresees that this strategy will work, thus accomplishing his goal of uniting Sun Quan's side as Liu Bei's side. It was later proved that the defeat of Cao Cao in the Battle of Chibi not only satisfied the objective function of Kong Minglian and Sun resisting Cao, but also satisfied the objective function of Zhou Yu being Erqiao. So these two are smart people, and of course the best representatives of rational people in economics.
3 Cao Mengde's economics
In fact, here, Cao Mengde's economics can only be used as a borrowing. The question to be explained is whether the economic explanation is valid in the case of not loving the country and the beauty, or can economics explain the phenomenon of not loving the country and beautifying?
The first explanation is that "don't love the country and the beauty" is actually a strategy, but it is not a real preference, because from the results of the behavior, the actual preference is to love the country and the beauty. It's just using the beauty as an excuse, whether it is intended to make a sound, or to send a wrong signal to confuse the opponent, it can be included in this explanation.
It is possible that the second explanation favors a different explanation. The beacon fire show the princes, the anger of the crown and the beauties can all explain this explanation. The latest development in this explanation is neuroeconomics, which complements Hume's rationality as a slave to passion. A brief analysis is as follows: When deciding on goals, business people are usually driven by passion. The explanations that look at the Chinese and American people are more inclined to biology, such as eugenics or genetic maximization or genetic adaptation. This route is expanded by the new evolutionary economics. The future of this road is unclear, at least so far, on the fringes. But I personally prefer it.
So if I were a screenwriter, I would tend to agree with John Woo's current line of thinking, but I just need to make some adjustments in terms of historical facts. For example, in order to make his genetic inheritance the most adaptable, Cao Cao decided to search for beautiful women in Jiangnan; and Sun Quan and Liu Bei also decided to join forces to combat Cao Cao's search for beautiful women in order to make their genetic inheritance the most adaptable. The Battle of Chibi broke out. As for beautiful women, you don't have to have Erqiao. You can choose 180 of her through the audition of super women, and put them all together. At least for male audiences, it will make "Chibi" more pleasing to the eye. ; And for the female audience, oh, sorry, they have already signed up for the audition.
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