The much-anticipated third episode of the eighth season was broadcast. As the pinnacle of ice and fire, death and life, an 80-minute battle costing $15 million to match the effects of a movie. The first thing I felt after watching was that it was too awesome. NS! The second feeling is that you are so stupid!
That's right, the plot is ups and downs, the atmosphere is rendered perfectly, the characters are song and tear, and it is very burning and refreshing after watching. But as an intellectual creature, thinking about the human military deployment in the drama, a sense of anger that IQ was insulted spontaneously arises! As the commander-in-chief of human beings, Xuenuo really doesn't understand anything!
After a careful analysis of the military forces of both sides, I think the human army still has a comparative advantage. To formulate an excellent military plan, it may even be won by conventional battles.
1. The characteristics of the two armies and the analysis of the external environment
The so-called knowing oneself and the enemy will never end in a hundred battles. A successful and targeted military plan is inseparable from the analysis of the characteristics of the enemy’s arms, existing resources, organizational structure and other elements. It varies from person to person from time to time and place. It can flexibly strengthen one's own advantages and make up for avoiding one's disadvantages. .
The components and characteristics of the army of strange ghosts:
1. The number of ghouls is extremely large, possibly as high as two or three hundred thousand, but they are all uneven. There are many ghouls lacking arms and legs, and many have no weapons. The combat power of ordinary ghouls is very low , and they are not tired and unconscious. Dead things, manipulated by ghosts or night kings, fearing flames and dragon crystals . There are a very small number of giant ghouls, corpse bears, etc., with greater lethality, and an ice dragon with strong attack power.
2. The number of strange ghosts is very small, mainly manipulating ghouls, but also controlled by the night king, has certain awareness and fighting skills, and has relatively high attack power. Dragon crystal, dragon flame and Valyrian steel are its deadly nemesis .
3. The Night King, the brain and commander of the army of alien ghosts, a full-level necromancer, possesses strong dark magic, especially the ability to transform corpses into ghouls. The loss of the human army will become a reserve for the army of alien ghosts. strength.
The army of alien ghosts is extremely large, but there are no special armament resources, no siege weapons (giant ghouls and ice dragons have certain siege ability due to their own strength), and their marching speed is very slow . Its organizational structure has a very distinctive feature, that is, the single-center system. The ghoul is controlled by the alien ghost, and the alien ghost is controlled by the night king. The night king is the core of the entire army. When a ghost is dead, the group of ghouls it controls are also He died, and if the Night King died, all the ghosts and even the ghouls would fall apart completely. The strategy of capturing the thieves and the king is very important, but the Night King and the strange ghost are not easy to fight, and the hope of winning cannot be put on fluke.
The components and characteristics of the human army:
1. Dragon Ma Daenerys' troops. Dothraki cavalry is an invincible cavalry force in the world of power travel. The Unsullied Army has extremely strict discipline and high individual combat capability. It is the premier mercenary group in the world of Quanyou. Two fire dragons with extremely high attack power. Dragon Flame is also the deadly nemesis of ghouls and aliens.
2. Jon Snow's troops. The Northern Army of the Stark family has high loyalty, adapts to cold weather, and has strong combat effectiveness, with family generals commanding operations. The attached savages are adaptable to cold weather, have strong personal combat effectiveness, and have combat experience with alien ghosts.
3. Others. (The missing troops are welcome to add)
The number of human troops is relatively small, only about 30,000 to 40,000. Humans are afraid of the cold, have no vision in the dark, their body will be tired, and their combat effectiveness will continue to decline over time. These are the main disadvantages. But mankind also has several outstanding advantages: there are many knights and generals with outstanding personal abilities, human beings are consciously and flexible in combat, have armament resources, machinery manufacturing, and smelting technology. A particularly advantageous point is that Winterfell is a human castle that the alien ghost army will inevitably attack. The alien ghost army marches slowly, and humans have a long time to build fortifications . (You can start preparing when Stark retakes Winterfell.)
In addition, military warfare pays attention to the right time, the right place and the right people. The sky, the cold weather and the night time are extremely unfavorable for the human army to fight; geographically, humans are defensive warfare, and there are castles, which have obvious advantages, but the castles are small and short, and they can’t even hold all the troops. Human beings are in a state of fear and morale is relatively low.
2. Analysis of the main points of mankind's military strategy
The goal of the war is of course to eliminate the opponent as much as possible and achieve victory, but after analyzing the characteristics of the two armies and the fighting environment, we can determine some more detailed strategies for preparing for war.
1. Avoid large-scale frontal hand-to-hand combat as much as possible, and reduce the death toll of our soldiers as much as possible. The first is that there are too many ghouls army. Although the combat effectiveness is not high, human soldiers are outnumbered. Head-to-head combat will be surrounded by the vast sea of ghouls. Secondly, strange ghosts have the ability to transform human corpses into ghouls. Our losses will become the enemy's supply. This is very terrifying. We must reduce our deaths as much as possible.
At the beginning of the war in the play, the Dothraki cavalry's charge was an extremely stupid military behavior. The main function of the cavalry is to deter the enemy's psychology and attack the enemy's formation, while the ghoul is a dead thing, there is no fear and formation at all. Rushing and attacking has no real effect except destroying our strength, damaging our morale, and adding new strength to the enemy.
2. Make full use of fire. The human army has several weaknesses, all of which can be compensated or avoided by fire. First of all, fire is also a weapon . The dragon crystal is very easy to use, but it is a small quantity and high production cost. The tool that can be used on a large scale is actually fire. Each person can be equipped with an additional torch, which is cheap and easy to use; , fire can illuminate the night sky , and expand human horizons, to fight to bring a lot of convenience. Anyone who has played real-time strategy games knows how powerless the fog of the map is. The wide vision makes people feel safe and boosts morale. Moreover, flames can bring warmth . Humans fighting by the fire are colder than darkness. Greater advantage. Finally, ghouls have the characteristic of fearing fire. Creating a wall of fire can become an effective defense against the enemy , giving mankind a clear advantage in combat.
3. Strengthen the construction of fortifications. We saw in the first two episodes that the human army is actively training, which is better than doing nothing, but it is not the optimal solution. Because the military's temporary training can increase combat power is minimal, on the contrary, focusing on strengthening engineering construction can bring about a significant increase in defense. The fortifications include digging trenches, cutting down trees, strengthening city walls, and manufacturing equipment. This point will be elaborated in the next section.
4. The division, command and rotation of the army. Due to the large number of enemies and tirelessness, the human army needs to give full play to the advantages of its arms and carry out reasonable rotation and rest to ensure the continuation of combat effectiveness. This point will also be elaborated in the next section.
5. Popularize the basic knowledge of ghouls and strange ghosts. This belongs to the scope of propaganda work, but it is very important. The unknown is the main source of human fear. Fire lighting reduces the unknown physically, while popularizing common sense reduces the unknown psychologically. However, in the TV series, even high-level top characters like Arya Stark are ignorant of what enemies they are about to face. It can be imagined how ignorant, fearful and uneasy the grass-roots soldiers are. This seriously dampens morale and hinders the correct defense. The enemy is ready.
There is also a detail in the TV series. Under the call of the Night King, the old Stark ancestors buried in the cellar turned into ghouls and climbed out of the coffin. This kind of decaying ghoul has slow action and low attack power. People waved torches to light them, but no one knew how to do it. They just screamed frantically and fled with their heads. Lack of common sense kills people!
3. Analysis of human combat plan
Based on the above analysis of characteristics and strategic objectives, I designed a defensive operation plan focusing on trenches and fire, as shown in the figure above, referred to as "trench fire plan":
1. Stop military training with little effect. All soldiers are divided into two parts. One is responsible for digging trenches around Winterfell. It is best to dig three parts. However, considering the limited tools and the difficulty of digging hard in winter, the requirements can be reduced, but at least a wide and deep trench must be dug out to contain all human forces. The trenches in the play are too narrow and shallow, and the circles are too small to qualify.
Another soldier was responsible for cutting down trees, cutting down the forest near Winterfell as much as possible, filling the wood into the trenches for use, and transporting a small amount of wood to the wall to make rolling logs . In addition, clearing the forest on the outskirts of the city can also expand the horizons of mankind.
Several large fires are prepared on the periphery of the trench to light up human vision at night , observe the movement of the ghoul army, and at the same time guide the attack direction of the catapult under the city wall.
2. Before the army of ghouls attack, ignite the trench to form a wall of fire around Winterfell . Several small gates were left in the trenches, and each gate was guarded by two groups of soldiers . The guard soldiers rotate every hour to ensure a certain rest and continuous combat effectiveness. The ghouls feared fire and came in through the pass around the wall of fire. The human soldiers could come and kill one by one while guarding the pass. Although the total number of enemies is more than ours, in each local battlefield, we have to create a situation where we fight more and less as much as possible, so as to wait for work to consume the opponent's vitality.
If the ghoul army conducts a full-scale attack output in a short period of time, then the human defense will inevitably be under tremendous pressure and suffer severe damage. By using the card position of the gate, the ghoul army can only perform small attack output for a long time, then the pressure on human defense is greatly reduced. For example, the enemy’s total attack power is 200 points, and our defense power is 30 points. If a full confrontation in a short period of time results in a serious imbalance between attack and defense, our side is bound to be completely suppressed. However, using levels, the enemy can only output 10 points of attack power per time, and continue to output 20 points. Then, at each time, our side will defend 30 points against the enemy's 10 points of attack, but we can get more attack and less damage. The relaxed situation. The 300 warriors of Sparta relied on the danger of the barrier to kill 20,000 Persian soldiers.
3. The cavalry did not attack outside, but galloped in the circle of the fire wall in the trench, killing the ghouls that leaked through the pass , and reducing the pressure on guard soldiers. The catapult was placed far from the front line under the city wall, and continuously projected the ghoul army outside the fire wall. The two fire dragons mainly emptied the ghoul army outside the fire wall of the trench. After the ice dragon appeared, they pinched and eliminated the ice dragon.
In addition, prepare four small teams, one is responsible for wartime communications and conveying commands from the generals; one is responsible for operating heavy equipment, and when special ghouls such as giants appear, they are responsible for shooting; one is responsible for adding fuel to the trench to ensure that the fire wall continues; one is responsible for handling deaths in battle. Of soldiers.
4. After the death of human soldiers, they face the risk of being transformed into ghouls by alien ghosts. The method I originally thought was to throw the corpse on the spot into the trench and burn it, but this would damage the fire of the fire wall, which is not a long-term solution. The way the characters in the play have been preaching to avoid the ghoul is to burn the corpse, but in fact, the nemesis of the ghoul is the dragon crystal. My solution is to prepare several dragon crystal cones that are similar to bamboo sticks. They do not need to be polished or made too much. They can penetrate the human body. After a human soldier is killed, he will pierce a dragon crystal cone into his body. It won't be transformed into a ghoul, even if it is transformed, because the dragon crystal is pierced in the body, it will die immediately.
5. If there are multiple trenches, after the outer trenches are lost, ignite the second trench and continue the previous tactical strategy. Although the number of the ghoul army far exceeds that of human beings, it will continue to consume without supplementing it. If you stick to it, the probability of victory of the human army will be greatly improved. There is no need to use Bran as a bait, just the bad situation on the battlefield can force the Night King out.
6. The main flaw of the trench fire program (wéiyī) is that the night king in the play shows the bug skill of summoning a blizzard, and the fire wall of the trench may be extinguished. But the problem is that the Blizzard skill is something we don't know beforehand, so we ignore it and prepare for the battle according to the best plan. In fact, Melisandre came later, and the trench that she lit with the power of the Lord of Light could not be extinguished by the Night King blizzard.
Of course, the trench fire plan may also fail. After all, TV dramas need to be dramatic development to be attractive, but at least this plan is not stupid. The real tragedy is that human beings have exerted their full intelligence, but they are unable to return to the sky. This is the attractive charm of Quan You before.
Reply to some common queries:
1. You are from the perspective of God, so it's not painful to speak while standing?
S: I don't think this is a God's perspective, because the two military information and environmental information used in the article did not exceed the cognition of the protagonist in the play . These are the content they have and the information is known.
2. The fortifications are good, but how can there be time to build them?
S: It's not that there is no time, but no layout and vision . The Stark family regained Winterfell in the sixth season, and Ji Xue has been worried about the invasion of strange ghosts in the south. In fact, since then, he can start preparing fortifications, but he has not. Except for looking for allies to find Long Jing, Ji Xue never seemed to think about military strategy or military tactics . Other people with wisdom and knowledge, such as Onion and Little Devil, have not thought about combat tactics. Even the strategy of capturing thieves and kings is also hinted by Bran.
3. The fortifications are good, but how can there be energy to build?
S: It's not that I don't have energy, it's that my preparations are chaotic and inconsistent . The small trenches and catapults in the war in the play, the careful audience will notice, in the second episode, the gray bug led the unsullied to excavate and build. As for other troops, they did their own things. For example, Brienne was engaged in soldier training. It shows that for the pre-war preparations, the intermediate generals did not have a unified idea at all, and they played in their own way. This is the pot of the commander-in-chief, Ji Xue. I can't help but praise Grey Worm here , he is a very experienced general who has ideas and a big picture .
The Unsullied Troops can dig small trenches and build catapults in the second episode, indicating that there is a certain amount of time to prepare for battle, and the land is not frozen soil and can be excavated . There are also tens of thousands of people in the human army. If the commander has ideas, it will be perfectly fine to unify all the troops and dig a larger and deeper trench.
4. The resources in the north are scarce, so your vision is a fantasy?
S: The main resource required for the trench fire program is wood. The northern border resources are scarce, but the forest is not scarce. I did not ask for any resources beyond the scope of the northern border . All in all, the analyzed information is known, and the required resources are feasible.
5. Even a piece of charcoal is cherished when Gendry is smelting. If there is not much wood, it is not easy to burn?
S: Wood and charcoal are not a concept. Charcoal is indeed relatively rare and precious, because it requires multiple treatments before it can become charcoal. The burning temperature of charcoal can be as high as 1000 degrees, which is twice as high as that of ordinary wood . Charcoal is an indispensable fuel for high-temperature smelting in the classical era, so Zander cherishes it when he strikes iron . The wood is different. There is no shortage of trees in the north. The unsullied ones in the play use the peeled tree trunks when preparing the trenches. Trenches can be ignited with dragon flames.
6. The army of the night king is slow in action?
S: The marching speed of the Night King's army is indeed much slower than that of human beings, leaving a certain amount of time for Winterfell City to prepare for battle . When the Night King Ice Dragon burned down the Great Wall and headed south, Xue Nuo and Long Ma had just set off for Winterfell. However, after they arrived at Winterfell, the last Young Master Amber of Hearth City was still in Winterfell, so he hurried back to the hearth. City, the Night King also went south to Fireplace City. The main reason for the slow march may be that the quality of the ghouls is uneven, and the army should focus on the slow-moving ghouls who lack arms and legs. In addition, the slow march of the army and the slowness of individual mobility are not the same concept . The ghoul seems to have a runaway state on the battlefield, and the behavior mechanism behind it is unknown.
7. Can your plan defeat the army of strange ghosts?
S: There is no guarantee that I will win, but I think this plan is more effective than the one in the show. I hope you can explore and improve it.
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