why not me?

Isac 2022-11-03 09:00:15

I just watched thinking fast, and slow not long ago. When I watch this film again, I really feel a lot.

1 When people make decisions, they are [often] susceptible to system 1, that is, emotional and irrational influences, whether you are an [expert] or an [ordinary person].

2 Really, don't believe anything. Only by constantly thinking and collecting information from different sources and positions, you can have unlimited access to the truth.

There is a passage in the 3 film, and there is a similar discussion in thinking fast and slow: There are many people doing impossible things, and some people achieve it, and they become geniuses. Why can't I? Typical optimism. The base rate is not taken into account at all. In fact, the answer I have always wanted to find is how to maximize the probability of success when doing things with low power. There are no answers in the book. There is also no answer in the film.

3 The protagonist is also really awesome. There is nothing, and it can be exchanged for the support of so many powerful people. Except for some people, who are really blinded by emotions, some people are also mercenary. Walgreens directly cooperated with the company, and also saw the company's gimmick. After seeing the cooperation, walgreens' stock price soared. Some investors aren't fools either. I remember an investor who said that he invested in google, baidu, etc. in the early days, and also said that it doesn't matter, as long as it is novel. Typical antifragile thinking, as long as there are gimmicks, people can invest a sum of money, the money is certainly not very large, the loss is acceptable, but once the bet is on the treasure, the gain is huge.

4 By looking at the name of the machine, you can tell that the protagonist has admiration for Edison. The long knowledge is that Edison was also a businessman. Before the incandescent lamp did not succeed, the publicity had been successful, (estimated to harvest a wave of stocks.) It was not successful until the end. Really lucky. Genius is one percent inspiration plus ninety-nine percent [luck]

4 Also +1 interest in behavioral economics

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