51% option

Daija 2022-03-16 09:01:02

The story goes like this: Boss said that he would buy 480,000 option contracts to obtain more than 50% of the equity. First of all, the total number of shares outstanding = 93.4mln. So we have to add a condition that one contract corresponds to one hundred shares. This belongs to the market convention, but it's not too much. Therefore, the proportion of Boss's equity is 48/93.4, which is indeed slightly higher than 50%.

Then calculate the option price: stock price px_last = 31gbp. Invest 30mln pounds, the price of each option = 3000/48 = 62.5.

We assume that what the boss wants is ATM. It is impossible to acquire such a large number of options, and OTM is even more inoperable.

We assume that the dividend yield is equal to the risk-free rate. It is purely to simplify the calculation, and it will not deviate very much from reality.

Then there are:

If the option expires in one month, implied vol = 17.63%

If the option expires in three months, implied vol = 10.18%

If the option expires in twelve months, implied vol = 5.09%

The latter two are too outrageous and not included in the calculation. Consider 17.63% of the one-month option. As a reference, the market value of Bayer in Germany today is 12.64bln. A pharmaceutical company with a market value of 1% of Bayer (not even considering this is The film 20 years ago), the annualized volatility of the one-month period is less than 20%, which is completely impossible.

Without mentioning option prices, this operation itself is meaningless. Is the option physical or cash settled? The latter is equivalent to asking for money directly; the former cannot be bought in the market at all and can only be bought from the heads of pharmaceutical companies, which is also equivalent to asking for money directly. You have pointed your gun at people's heads, why are you still playing with this kind of slab? Even if it can be bought on the market, who can sell more than 50% of the volume? This will blow up the supply of the entire market and tell the world that there is a problem.

Before playing with fancy vocabulary, you should do a little basic calculation. Those who don't know how to do it can see it, and those who know it want to laugh. What is going on with so much effort?

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Extended Reading
  • Xzavier 2022-03-24 09:01:18

    My heart is broken when I see the short soup quilt abuse! Then he was resurrected with full blood! (⌒▽⌒) Don’t you need money for fighting scenes! Take so long! The heroine is so ugly! I guessed where the virus was robbed! In the end it was quite tragic! That soundtrack is so boring!

  • Edison 2022-03-24 09:01:18

    The second part of the "Mission Impossible" series directed by Yusen Wu. It was Anthony Hopkins who played the role of Tom, obviously, the cast was not written, nor did he write a special guest appearance. What a magical meaning! The film edited by Wu Yusen is 3 and a half hours long, but the producer told him that the length of the film cannot exceed 120 minutes, which is why the film has frequent loopholes in plot and coherence.

Mission: Impossible II quotes

  • Luther Stickell: [after getting off the helicopter and steps in sheep droppings] Shit.

    Ethan Hunt: Yes it is

  • Sean Ambrose: [disguised as Ethan Hunt] You keep calling me Dimitri. You really shouldn't.

    Dr. Nekhorvich: You are not Dimitri?

    [Ambrose knocks him out]

    Sean Ambrose: No.