Three months ago, talking about Trump with American friends was indeed a relish, but now they will say "What a shame".
Three months ago, when the Economist started reporting on the election, the topic of Trump's report was okay. He wouldn't be president anyway. Now the topic is what should we do if he is elected.
Three months ago, everyone was laughing at the absurdity of that beautiful wall, but now the talk show has begun to seriously interview the former president of Mexico and ask him if he is willing to pay for the wall.
My friend and I said that if I were an American, I would vote for Trump, not because of how much I admire him, but for two reasons. The first point is that this will verify the revival of populism in the world today, and Taiwan recently. The general election, like the European refugees, is a portrayal of populism.
I came to the United States to study international relations for two years and stayed there for nearly three years. The sudden rise of populism made me really excited.
After World War II, Western society was generally proud of “helping the world”. The United States implemented the Marshall Plan to consolidate its camp. After decolonization, Europe still tried to use aid to exert its influence, and Germany was even more involved in the previous war. Feel guilty and try to get forgiveness.
When a person or a country chooses to "help the world", he must firmly believe in the existence of a world (individually, outside the country). So he began to build this world-establishing an Institution (system, order), praising the "Rule of Law", and proclaiming that his consciousness comes from his democratic aspirations.
These decisions are made by the elites of these Western countries-power-hungry politicians, companies that need markets, and caring intellectuals. They have also benefited greatly from this in terms of morality and interests.
For ordinary people, Lao Tzu not only leads a good life, but also helps others. What can be happier than that.
However, this value system has slowly loosened in recent years, and the needs of the elite and the people have cracked.
When you interview a Trump supporter, many people will say, "I have seen too many hypocritical politicians, and I finally have a straight-hearted one." And it is not Trump who dismantles the emperor’s new clothes, it is from the financial crisis in 2009. The lack of trust in the political system and (I think) Obama’s indecisive foreign policy led to a lack of self-confidence. “If you are poor, you will be alone, and if you are good, you will help the world.” People begin to wonder if they are not “reach”, so they don’t need to help. The world is gone.
In addition, the rise of emerging countries like China-ironically, when the West is exaggerating the rise of China to support the theory that they should exert more influence on the world, these excessive exaggerations have also built a strong China in the minds of the people. It also made the people realize that "contributing to the world" may not be an obligation of "experts" at all. Shen Dawei’s "China Goes Global: A Partial Power" is right. China’s going out is purely for its own (economic) interests, even if those who participate in international governance are still so-why not the United States, but At least not so arrogant.
This is also the biggest headache for the American elite. How can they explain to the humble people that the rise of China and other countries is also attributable to the world order they built and perfected at the time, and what is more difficult is how to explain that the United States should take the lead in establishing these orders. . As a result, TPP has become the biggest concern of American think tanks. The two leading presidential candidates, Trump and Hillary Clinton, stand on the populist side and oppose this free trade agreement.
Compared with the United States, the European refugee problem has a much greater impact on the spirit of "consolidating the world" that they once supported. Last week, when the Turkish President came to Washington to give a public speech, Amnesty International organized a large number of protesters, including slogans comparing Erdogan to Hitler's. In Erdogan’s speech, however, he calmly said that Turkey is the country that provides the most humanitarian aid in terms of headcount in the world. He also teased other Western countries that they knew that there was a country (Turkey) that would accept these refugees anyway, so he just said Regardless of their business.
Last month European countries reached an agreement with Turkey to send refugees to Turkey, one of the conditions is to relax criticism of Turkey's human rights and dictatorship issues. This is simply devastating to the moral high ground held by European countries. What is even more ironic is that these refugees today are also largely derived from the democratization movement in the Arab Spring.
I said before that there are two reasons for supporting Trump’s election. The second reason is that if he becomes the president of the United States, it will definitely be a good show. Trump will not become Hitler because, unlike Hitler, he It has won the support of the people, but it has not been able to get the slightest support from the elite. The party and the U.S. military have already jointly signed a letter stating that Trump will not be loyal if he is elected. People who study international relations are all good things, especially this kind of harmless humans and animals, this can't be more exciting.
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